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XLM Price Forecast : What to Expect Today ? Technical Analysis
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XLM Price Forecast : What to Expect Today ? Technical Analysis

Attention-grabbing summary : Is XLM facing bearish pressure, hinting at an imminent collapse ? Expert analysis warns investors of Stellar Lumens (XLM) about a potential significant price drop today. Stay informed for more updates on this developing situation.

Written by Charles Ledoux

Translated on August 20, 2025 at 09:21 by Marie

XLM analysis cover image.
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Alarming Summary : XLM Under Bearish Pressure, Is a Collapse Imminent ?

Analysis warns Stellar Lumens (XLM) investors: this cryptocurrency‘s price could experience a significant drop today. After failing to break through the key resistance level of $0.50, XLM now appears to be in a bearish trend, with concerning technical signals. Here’s a breakdown of this alert and analysis of crucial support levels for XLM’s future.

XLM Struggles to Reclaim $0.50, a Negative Signal

Despite repeated attempts, XLM has failed to break out of the resistance zone around $0.50. Each time the price began to climb, sellers returned forcefully, keeping the asset in a bearish consolidation phase.

From a technical perspective, this is reflected in a downward crossing of the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA), signaling a short-term trend reversal. Market sentiment has now shifted from bullish to bearish, reflecting increased investor caution regarding XLM’s weakness against the dollar.

XLM price chart 1-day timeframe

XLM also lost its 50-day MA overnight. As mentioned in a previous article, XLM is expected to return to its liquidity zone between $0.25 and $0.22.

“Stellar $XLM is in a consolidation phase! The next support levels are at $0.33 and $0.22.” – Ali, crypto analyst

As long as buyers fail to establish themselves firmly above $0.50, XLM risks remaining volatile in the short term, with potential for a significant decline. Indeed, it will be important to monitor the RSI on the daily chart as it approaches oversold territory and wait for bullish divergences on the 4H timeframe.

Volatility Fueled by Trader Uncertainty

Notably, data from Coinglass shows that XLM funding rates have frequently fluctuated between positive and negative in recent weeks. This change in dynamics reflects a phase of indecision among short-term traders, who are more inclined to ride momentum movements than hold long-term convictions.

OI funding chart for XLM
Source: Coinglass

As a consequence of this volatility, XLM’s price forecast remains obscured by uncertainty, with price movements dictated by speculation rather than solid fundamentals. The support levels at $0.33 and $0.22 will therefore be crucial in determining the next trajectory for this cryptocurrency.

How to Buy Stellar on Bybit ?

Nevertheless, XLM has approached a breakout of its 7-year accumulation phase. The potential explosion of XLM in the coming months is not in question. $1 to $2 remain probable targets for XLM in 2025.

To acquire Stellar Lumens (XLM) on Bybit, follow these steps :

  1. Registration : Create an account on Bybit with an email address and a secure password. Complete KYC verification if required.
  2. Fund your account : Access the “Deposit” section and add funds via bank card (fiat) or by transferring a cryptocurrency like USDT.
  3. Spot Market : Go to “Spot Trading” and select the XLM/USDT pair.
  4. Place an order : Choose a market order to buy at the current price or a limit order to set a target price. Indicate the desired amount of XLM and confirm.

Trading Strategy for a Long Position on XLM

Here’s a guide for attempting a long trade on XLM with a stop-loss (SL) at $0.188 and an entry zone (EZ) between $0.26 and $0.22 :

  • Entry Zone ($0.26 – $0.22) : This zone coincides with the key technical support at $0.25, identified as a potential bounce level. Entering around $0.22 maximizes profit potential if the price rebounds, while $0.26 is a more cautious entry in case of consolidation.
  • Stop-loss ($0.188) : Placing the SL at $0.188 provides a safety margin below the $0.22 support, protecting against a major bearish breakdown. This represents a risk of 14-24% depending on your entry point.
  • Price target : If XLM bounces off $0.22, the first resistance to target is $0.33 (potential gain of 50% from $0.22). A return to $0.50 is possible in the medium term, offering an attractive risk/reward ratio (up to 2.7:1).
  • Risks : Current volatility and the absence of clear fundamental catalysts could delay the rebound. Monitor trading volumes and Stellar-related announcements to confirm momentum.
    Recommendation : Enter progressively between $0.26 and $0.22, with a tight SL at $0.188. Take partial profits at $0.33 and adjust the SL to breakeven if the price reaches this level.

More on this topic :

Charles Ledoux

Charles Ledoux

Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.

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