XRP analysis: Will XRP crash to $1 after losing $2?

The Trap Closes: Why Did XRP Drop?

The breakout attempt looked promising, but it hit a wall of sellers. XRP, which was trying to break free from the $2.00 resistance, saw its momentum cut short. XRP is now displaying 3 consecutive daily seller order blocks. This indicates that institutional selling pressure is not weakening.

This movement triggered a brutal drop, liquidating long positions opened late by overly optimistic traders. Currently, the price is oscillating in a dangerous zone around $1.96 – $1.98, confirming that the $2 level has shifted back from potential support status to solid resistance.

This type of movement, often referred to as a “fakeout,” is particularly damaging to market psychology: it transforms euphoria into fear within a matter of hours, forcing weak hands to capitulate.

Technical Analysis: Vital Supports Are Under Threat

From a technical standpoint, the short-term structure is now bearish. The failure to maintain price above $2 has invalidated the immediate recovery scenario. Momentum indicators are showing signs of weakness, suggesting that selling pressure is not yet fully exhausted.

Traders must now monitor two crucial levels:

• Immediate support ($1.83): This is the last line of defense before a bearish acceleration. If this level gives way on a daily close, the door opens toward much lower liquidity zones.
• Major resistance ($2.00 – $2.05): To hope to cancel this bearish signal, the bulls must absolutely reclaim this zone with volume. As long as the price remains below this threshold, bounces are likely to be sold.

Analyst Ali Martinez had recently warned about reversal signals (such as Doji candles or bearish SuperTrend signals on higher timeframes), which corroborates the current fragility of the movement.

Can XRP Avoid a Crash Toward $1.70?

Two scenarios are emerging for the next 24 to 48 hours:

• Bearish Scenario (likely): If the $1.95 support is broken with volume, XRP could quickly slide toward the next zone of interest located around $1.68 – $1.75. This level corresponds to former highs and could act as a technical bounce zone. This is a crucial demand zone. A loss of this level would take XRP toward $1.
• Bullish Scenario (alternative): If buyers manage to defend $1.95 and orchestrate a quick rebound (V-shape recovery), XRP could attempt another attack on $2.00. A close above this level would invalidate the short-term bearish thesis and could reignite momentum toward $2.30.

For now, caution is warranted. The market has sent a clear rejection signal, and going against this momentum without solid confirmation would be risky.

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