XRP analysis: Can XRP surge to $1.80 this week?

Can XRP Confirm This Major Technical Breakout?

The crypto market is holding its breath as XRP attempts to break free from a negative spiral that has lasted over a month. After suffering a 50% crash from its January peak, the asset exploded to $1.67 over the weekend, marking a gain of over 11% on February 15th. This impulsive move allowed the price to test and break through a descending bearish trendline that had been compressing the price since January 6th, 2026. However, XRP erased all its gains just hours later. The question of whether this was merely an “exit pump” arises.

Currently, XRP is navigating a volatile price zone between $1.48 and $1.62 (technical median around $1.55). This sudden awakening is accompanied by an explosion in activity: trading volume surged by 89% to reach $4.83 billion, reflecting a massive return of speculators. However, caution remains warranted. The price is still struggling to transform this breakout into validated support, leaving the specter of a fakeout (false breakout) hanging if buying pressure fades.

The ADX (Average Directional Index) indicator, which measures trend strength, displays a value of 33.85. Above the key threshold of 25, this figure confirms that the current momentum is powerful. Buyers are in control, but the battle for H4 (4-hour) candle closes will be decisive for future developments.

Key Levels: Support, Resistance and Scenarios

To validate a sustainable bull run recovery, technical analysis is clear: XRP must imperatively close a 4-hour candle above the bearish trendline and, crucially, break free from the order block at $1.65. This is the pivot that separates a simple bullish correction from a genuine impulse.

If the bulls manage to defend this level, the path would be clear for an additional rally of approximately 10%, with the psychological and technical resistance at $1.84 in sight. This level corresponds to a potential profit-taking zone for short-term traders.

Conversely, derivatives data shows that traders are heavily positioned with leverage. In case of rejection below $1.65, the risk of liquidation of long positions could trigger a rapid retracement. The critical support to watch sits around $1.32. A daily close below this level would invalidate the reversal thesis and could plunge the asset back into its underlying bearish trend.

The current configuration offers an interesting risk/reward ratio for momentum traders. On-chain data and open interest in derivatives markets suggest that confidence is returning, but the market remains nervous. XRP has proven its ability to surprise with explosive moves, and the break of the bearish trend is a strong initial signal.

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