XRP vs. Bitcoin: Why XRP could surge 50%?

XRP is holding strong against Bitcoin! Discover the key technical analysis & hidden signals that could drive a 50% surge. Read now!

Written by Charles Ledoux

Translated on February 7, 2026 at 14:30 by Simon Dumoulin

Coin xrp au dessus d'une fusée qui décolle sur un fond jaune

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XRP Saves Its Skin and Eyes an Explosive Rally

In a market where Bitcoin (BTC) often dictates the trend, altcoin performance is truly measured against the king of cryptos. Currently, XRP is trading around $1.40, showing a decline of approximately 3% today. But it’s on the XRP/BTC pair (currently around 2,087 sats) where the real battle is being fought.

XRP/BTC chart over 1 month with Bollinger Bands — Source: Tradingview / GKTDUY

Indeed, XRP has managed to defend a vital support: the Bollinger middle band on the monthly timeframe. This level acts as a lifeline for the long-term bullish trend. By bouncing off this zone, XRP confirms that it is still technically in a Bull Market against Bitcoin, contradicting the most pessimistic scenarios that anticipated an imminent breakdown.

Can the XRP/BTC Chart Trigger an Altseason?

This hold above the Bollinger middle band is not insignificant. In technical analysis, this often indicates that the consolidation phase is nearing its end and that buyers are regaining control. The technical target is clear: the upper Bollinger band. If the momentum continues, the chart projects a 51% surge for the XRP/BTC pair.

This movement, if it materializes, could significantly outperform Bitcoin in the short term. However, the loss of this Bollinger middle band for XRP would be a catastrophic scenario that should not be overlooked.

Scenarios: Bull Run or Bearish Trap?

Two outcomes are emerging for the coming weeks:

Bullish Scenario: XRP maintains its monthly close above the middle band. Buying pressure intensifies, propelling the price toward the +51% target against BTC, likely driving the USD price to new local highs beyond $2.
Bearish Scenario: Bitcoin absorbs all liquidity and XRP eventually gives up this key support. A monthly close below the middle band would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door to a severe correction toward lower supports.

While Bitcoin consolidates above $70,000, investors are looking for the next winning horse. The technical signal on XRP/BTC is rare and often a precursor to violent movements. If history repeats itself, XRP’s outperformance could surprise many observers focused solely on BTC. The question remains: is the market ready to massively inject capital into large caps like Ripple, or will Bitcoin’s dominance continue to stifle altseason hopes?

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Charles Ledoux

Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.

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