XRP facing freefall threat: What could trigger a 65% drop?
XRP surged by 283% in a month, yet its rapid rise lacked a solid foundation. Currently, the token hovers just 10% above a critical support level, risking a significant drop in its value. Bollinger Bands are signaling a warning that every savvy trader should closely evaluate.
Translated on December 14, 2025 at 19:56 by Simon Dumoulin
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A Rally Without Consolidation: A Recipe for Disaster
Experienced traders know that healthy upward movement requires consolidation phases. These levels allow the market to digest gains, establish new support zones, and build a solid foundation for what comes next. The XRP rally has offered none of these guarantees.
When an asset climbs this aggressively, late buyers become trapped at elevated prices. If the momentum reverses, these positions quickly turn unprofitable, triggering cascading liquidation waves. In this case, a breakdown of the current support could trigger a drop of up to 65%, pushing XRP back toward levels where real institutional and retail demand emerged before the pump.
Trading volume presents another concerning signal. After the initial euphoria, volumes have progressively withered, indicating growing investor disinterest. This market apathy leaves XRP vulnerable to sharp movements, especially as liquidity thins at current levels.
Bollinger Bands: Decoding a Major Technical Signal
Bollinger Bands measure volatility by framing price action with two bands around a moving average. Their tightening signals a compression phase that often precedes violent movement. For XRP, several signals converge toward a bearish bias: descending tops, bearish RSI divergence, and absence of horizontal support until a zone located approximately 35% lower, creating a dangerous air pocket. A close below the lower band would likely validate the start of a major correction.
Facing this risk, rigorous risk management becomes essential. Long-term investors can partially secure gains or place stop-losses below key support levels. For experienced traders, this setup may offer short opportunities with attractive risk-reward ratios, while contrarians will favor entry after potential capitulation.
In such a volatile market, diversification remains essential. Betting heavily on an asset displaying so many bearish signals contradicts principles of prudence. More robust cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum offer superior liquidity and stronger technical structures, thereby reducing exposure to extreme risk.
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