XRP predictions: Where will XRP go in 2026 after the $1.77 loss?

Technical Analysis Confirms the Bearish Trend

The situation has deteriorated sharply for XRP. By losing the swing low of $1.77, the token has validated a structural reversal in favor of sellers (bears). This level, which had previously acted as a solid rampart, has transformed into a formidable resistance. Currently, XRP is trading around $1.61, displaying precarious stability following this violent breakdown.

Market data confirms this weakness: buying volumes are dwindling and indicators of capital flows (such as the CMF) and order blocks signal a massive liquidity outflow. The market now seems to reject any attempt at sustained upward movement. For traders, the $1.70 zone has become the glass ceiling to monitor closely. As long as the price remains below this threshold, the momentum remains fundamentally bearish. And a bearish reversal at this level is more likely than the opposite, as evidenced by the numerous order blocks present.

Scenario: A Trap for Buyers at $1.90?

Despite this grim picture, a technical bounce cannot be ruled out, but it could prove deceptive. Analysis of the H4 chart suggests that a rally toward the $1.90 zone would not be a buy signal, but rather an ideal selling opportunity (short squeeze) for savvy traders. This move would allow late positions to be liquidated before resuming the underlying downward trend.

Indeed, across multiple timeframes, a seller order block has formed around $1.9. Moreover, the liquidated trendline and the Yearly Open are located at these levels. This is an ideal resistance for smart money to sell and take their profits.

If buyers fail to quickly reclaim $1.94 – $2.00, XRP risks sliding toward its next major demand zone. Current projections identify the $1.38 level as the sellers’ next target. A break of this last rampart would expose the token to an even more severe drop, with some analysts even mentioning a possible return below $1 if panic sets in.

The crypto market is at a crossroads. The loss of $1.77 has shifted investor psychology from accumulation to distribution. The question is no longer whether XRP will explode upward, but whether it can defend its last vital supports. With selling pressure intensifying and Bitcoin dictating the tempo, caution is warranted.

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