The past months have turned XRP into a rollercoaster ride for investors, with some cashing out amidst volatility, while others spot intriguing technical patterns. The flash crash on October 10, wiping out almost 65% of the token's value within hours, could paradoxically signal a scenario akin to 2017 when XRP surged over 5000%.
XRP’s recent journey resembles a scenario we’ve seen before. In July 2025, the token reached a local peak of $3.66, reigniting hopes for a genuine recovery after several years of forced consolidation. Then October 10 arrived. Within minutes, the price collapsed to $1.25 in a spectacular flash crash that liquidated millions in long positions.
What most intrigues analysts is the speed of recovery. In less than 72 hours, XRP rebounded to $2.40, forming an inverted V pattern characteristic of capitulation phases followed by aggressive accumulation. This violent movement, far from being a negative signal according to some experts, almost identically reproduces the 58% correction observed in 2017, just before the parabolic explosion that propelled the token to its historical peaks.
The analyst known by the pseudonym Ether believes XRP is currently in a power accumulation phase. According to him, the range between $1.25 and $2.50 represents an institutional accumulation zone where major players are building their positions before a potential major breakout. His message is clear: Giving up now could be costly for impatient investors.
While 2017 was the year of retail FOMO, 2025 could mark the massive entry of institutions into XRP. The fundamental difference from the previous bull run lies in the growing anticipation around a spot XRP ETF approved by the US SEC. This type of investment vehicle would allow traditional funds to gain direct exposure to XRP without managing the technical complexities related to wallets and custody.
The potential impact of such an ETF should not be underestimated. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have already proven their ability to drain billions of dollars into cryptocurrencies. For XRP, whose liquidity and infrastructure are already well-established, a spot ETF could unlock considerable institutional demand. Even without official approval at this stage, the mere speculation around this event keeps investor sentiment in a positive zone.
Some particularly optimistic chartists, like Chart Nerd, don’t hesitate to draw parallels with Amazon. They compare XRP’s multi-year consolidation to the stagnation phase experienced by the e-commerce giant in the 1990s, before its explosion during the 2000s. Their boldest projections suggest potential up to $27, although more conservative targets around $10 already seem ambitious given the current market capitalization.
Some analysts, like Chart Nerd, compare XRP’s long consolidation to Amazon’s before its legendary takeoff. According to them, the token could target up to $27, with a realistic objective around $10 in the medium term. An opportunity that investors are seizing right now.
Skeptics raise a valid argument: XRP’s current market capitalization makes a 5000% rally comparable to 2017 mathematically difficult. With billions of tokens already in circulation, reaching such multiples would require a colossal capital injection. However, even a moderate rally of 300 to 500% would be enough to propel XRP toward new historic highs above $3.50.
Crypto market veterans remind us that history never repeats exactly, but it often rhymes. XRP has already demonstrated its ability to surprise when sentiment becomes too negative. Its greatest surges have always occurred after periods of widespread doubt, when the majority of traders had capitulated.
For now, the dominant mood oscillates between cautious optimism and measured skepticism. On-chain indicators show consistent accumulation by whale-type addresses, suggesting that large wallets are quietly positioning themselves. Trading volume remains stable despite volatility, a sign that the investor base remains engaged.
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