AAVE price plunges 60%, But this breakout could trigger a massive surge

AAVE's price has dropped significantly. Discover why founders are accumulating the token & our price analysis. Could a breakout be on the horizon?

Written by Charles Ledoux

Adapted by April 13, 2026 at 08:19 by Simon Dumoulin

Aave coin sur un fond violer et jaune style futuriste

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VC whales capitulate, AAVE founders strike back

In the crypto market, AAVE was not spared by the brutal crash. The token recorded a staggering 64% drop from its highs, bringing its price back into a range between $91.00 and $98.60. This plunge is not linked to a protocol flaw, but to a violent capital rotation orchestrated by Venture Capital (VC) firms. Major players like Blockchain Capital liquidated over 216,292 tokens, generating $24.8 million in selling pressure.

Faced with this short-term bearish scenario, a fascinating dynamic is taking place behind the scenes. Far from giving in to panic, the project’s founders took advantage of this liquidity drop to massively accumulate the discounted tokens sold off by institutional investors. This redistribution phase marks a transfer of power from speculators to long-term holders. By absorbing this excess supply, the leadership team is sending a strong signal to the market regarding the project’s solid fundamentals.

AAVE price chart over 1 week with RSI and CVD indicators

This strategic accumulation could act as a major catalyst for the next cycle. Historically, when founders aggressively buy the dip, it often precedes a significant breakout. Furthermore, AAVE is showing a bullish divergence on its weekly CVD for the first time since the bottom of the 2022-2023 bear market.

DeFi fundamentals explode despite the bloodbath

While the price action seems bleak, AAVE’s on-chain metrics tell a completely different story, one of massive adoption. The recent launch of Aave V4 in March 2026 triggered an unprecedented wave of enthusiasm. Deposits quickly crossed critical thresholds, even forcing the protocol to increase its capacity limits to meet explosive borrowing demand. Currently, the Total Value Locked (TVL) stands at a staggering $25.38 billion.

Even more impressively, capital efficiency is reaching new heights with a utilization rate nearing 70%, representing $17.71 billion actively borrowed. This genuine usage dynamic translates into colossal annualized revenues estimated at $142 million. Over the last 30 days, the protocol generated nearly $44.9 million in fees, proving that the economic model effectively captures the value generated by its users.

Grayscale Research believes $AAVE, essentially a bank without bankers, can become a household name.

Even the @bankofcanada studied it, noting:
-> lower net interest margins than major banks
-> continuous operation
-> minimal overhead.

Read the full article from @LowBeta on… pic.twitter.com/Yr9htV3kQv
— Grayscale (@Grayscale) April 8, 2026

Moreover, according to Grayscale, AAVE has everything it takes to become a “prominent name” in the DeFi space, describing the project as a “bank without bankers”.

This dichotomy between a free-falling price and rapidly expanding fundamentals creates an interesting asymmetry for traders. While profitability indicators are flashing green, the market seems to undervalue AAVE’s ability to maintain its leadership in the DeFi ecosystem. If the value capture mechanism continues to improve, this disconnect could correct sharply during the next bull run.

Can AAVE kickstart a bullish rally from this key support?

In terms of technical analysis, the token is displaying a major bullish divergence on the daily RSI. This indicates that buyers have regained control at these levels.

AAVE price chart over 4 hours with RSI, order block, and CVD indicators

Furthermore, the price has just broken out of its compression triangle that had been forming over several weeks. The price is currently facing its final resistance and 4H order block at $98 before a potential rally of over 20% up to the major resistance zone at $123.

The short-term trend is rather bullish for AAVE, which should see this rally to $123 confirmed once it breaks through $98 with momentum. A confirmed breakout of this level with strong trading volume would validate a trend reversal. Conversely, a bearish scenario would see the price retrace towards $92, or even to new lows if AAVE fails to break past $98.

The key to the next impulse wave will lie in the market’s ability to digest the remaining institutional supply while capitalizing on the protocol’s record revenues. The whales have made their choice, but the battle for price control is just beginning. How high can AAVE’s price soar if the on-chain demand is finally reflected on the charts?

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Charles Ledoux

Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.

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