With $14.59 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options expiring, the crypto market braces for turbulence. Stay alert to key levels and strategize your trading moves amidst this period of uncertainty.
This Friday, crypto investors face a major event with the expiration of nearly $15 billion in options on BTC and ETH. This deadline will undeniably shape price dynamics in the coming days, offering both opportunities and risks for seasoned traders.
According to data from the Deribit platform, a total of $14.59 billion in options will expire on July 28th. Bitcoin contracts represent the largest share, with $11.94 billion, followed by Ethereum at $2.649 billion. Traders will need to carefully monitor the “Max Pain” levels, which are the prices at which the majority of positions will be at a loss.
While traders are generally optimistic, with a Put/Call ratio below 1, they acknowledge that the market may be overheated. Analysts at Greeks.live note that many investors are still clinging to their short positions, betting on price decreases, despite the significant losses they’ve incurred.
These bearish expectations are also fueled by market catalysts such as Bitcoin movements by Elon Musk. However, these fundamental factors don’t seem powerful enough to sustainably influence options positioning.
According to derivatives, Bitcoin has a “Max Pain” level at $112,000. Meanwhile, for Ethereum, it sits at $2,900. The coming days will therefore be crucial as prices could retest these levels.
In any case, experts expect that the expiration of these $14.59 billion in options will generate increased volatility, with likely corrections in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices toward their respective Max Pain levels. It will be crucial for traders to stay attentive to market developments in the coming days and adapt to a new trading environment.
Despite the upcoming turbulence, the crypto market should stabilize once these options have expired. Investors will then need to prepare for a potential trend reversal. Maintaining levels above $116,000 will be essential, otherwise BTC risks plunging lower toward $112,000.
Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.
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