Despite a Spring Rebound, Cardano Struggles to Recover

The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, and Cardano (ADA) has faced significant challenges in recent months. Although it experienced a period of growth in April and early May, a downtrend has since set in. Several technical and fundamental indicators suggest that a recovery in ADA’s price could be challenging in the short term.

ADA Cardano MVRV activity chart
Source: Santiment

Firstly, Santiment data shows that developer activity on the Cardano network has been declining since February. This slowdown in development activity could be concerning for long-term investors.

Moreover, the 90-day MVRV ratio has remained positive for almost two months, despite a recent decrease in profit-taking holders. This situation indicates that any attempt at an upward move would face significant selling pressure, with investors looking to realize their profits.

Short-Term Technical Outlook

The declining average age of circulating coins suggests a distribution phase within the Cardano network. This phenomenon will need to reverse to facilitate a true recovery in ADA’s price.

3-day ADA price chart

Technically, the market structure turned bearish at the end of May when Cardano dropped below the $0.51 level. This level now serves as a key resistance to monitor. If breached, a further decline towards $0.427 could be possible.

If ADA fails to hold above its liquidated trendline yesterday at $0.53, it will move into the demand zone between $0.48 and $0.45. This range must hold to avoid a deeper drop to $0.4.

Currently, a bullish recovery is not on the agenda as selling pressure prevails in the market. Only short-term stabilization, accompanied by increased demand, could hint at a potential reversal in trend for Cardano.

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