160 million DOGE in four days
The move is not driven by retail investors. Over a 96-hour window ending on May 4, large wallets accumulated roughly 160 million DOGE, equating to about $18 million at current prices. This pushed the memecoin above the $0.11 resistance in a burst of high volume.
The 149 wallets holding at least 100 million DOGE each now control a combined total of 108.52 billion tokens. This is an all-time high representing roughly 64% of the circulating supply, valued at nearly $11.6 billion. This level of concentration is structurally significant: when these entities accumulate without taking profits, they signal a long term positioning conviction rather than short term arbitrage.
Santiment’s SanSights report dated April 30 confirms the trend. 739 transfers exceeding $100,000 were recorded in a single day, the highest level since late 2025. When on-chain accumulation and flows into regulated products align in the same direction, the combined signal tends to carry more analytical weight than each factor taken in isolation.
For investors looking to understand cryptocurrencies beyond simple price movements, this type of on-chain reading is precisely what separates serious analysis from basic price tracking.
MACD, Stochastic RSI, Open Interest: The technical confluence
The MACD triggered a buy signal on DOGE according to TradingView data, and the Stochastic RSI simultaneously flashed the same signal. This confluence of indicators is rarely ignored by professional traders. Open Interest on DOGE futures surged by nearly 30% to reach $1.77 billion, with a Long/Short ratio of 1.8, reflecting a predominantly bullish speculative positioning.
In terms of liquidations, $73.64 million in forced closures were recorded in a single day, revealing a highly leveraged market that is potentially fragile on the long side if the price drops. This is the flip side of such a setup: a market with high Open Interest against a backdrop of accumulating whales can also trigger cascading liquidations if a key level breaks.
Experienced crypto traders know that the MACD and Stochastic RSI confluence in this context warrants attention, but requires price confirmation before any aggressive positioning.
Can DOGE break through $0.13 this week?
The $0.131 level corresponds to a measured move projection from a descending triangle on the DOGE weekly chart. The 200-day EMA at $0.1260 serves as a confirmation threshold: sustaining above this level would make $0.131 the next logical resistance.
The $0.097-$0.108 support area acts as the invalidation zone for the bullish thesis: any close below this corridor completely resets the bullish scenario. On the ETF front, the Grayscale DOGE (GDOG), 21Shares DOGE (TDOG), and Bitwise DOGE (BWOW) funds attracted roughly $460,000 in net flows for the week ending May 1. These amounts are still modest compared to the $17 billion market cap, but they are increasing after two weeks of net outflows.
Our take: the setup is technically solid and whale accumulation brings a credibility that purely retail rallies lack. However, with $73 million in long liquidations in a single day and a Long/Short ratio of 1.8, the derivatives market is overextended. A Bitcoin reversal below $78,000 would be enough to trigger a correction toward $0.10. To track DOGE price predictions and gain exposure on the right platforms, our comparison of the best crypto exchanges remains the gold standard. If you want to buy DOGE in this context, the $0.109-$0.111 support zone offers the most defensible entry point.
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