PEPE memecoin has recently plummeted by 45%, with analysts warning of further declines. Respected crypto analyst Ali Martinez predicts a potential 60% drop based on technical analysis. As derivatives market interest wanes and bearish signals multiply, could PEPE be on the verge of becoming another forgotten meme cryptocurrency?
Analyst Ali Martinez is raising the alarm by highlighting a chart formation particularly feared by traders: the head and shoulders pattern. This bearish technical configuration materialized when PEPE broke through its neckline on November 3, triggering a classic sell signal in chart analysis.
According to Martinez’s calculations, this breakdown projects a theoretical target of $0.0000015, representing an additional 60% plunge from current levels. This catastrophic scenario would place PEPE at all-time lows never seen since its initial launch. Market psychology appears to be following this bearish trajectory, as evidenced by the spectacular collapse in derivatives activity.
Open interest on PEPE futures contracts has literally evaporated, recording a brutal 65% decline to just $238 million. This mass exodus of speculative traders generally indicates a profound loss of confidence in the asset. When open positions collapse at this rate, it suggests that investors prefer to exit their positions rather than face unfavorable volatility.
Despite this bleak picture, certain recent signals hint at a possible short-term technical reaction. Open interest has rebounded by $46 million this week, while the long/short ratio stands at 1.03, indicating that long positions slightly dominate. This configuration suggests that some traders are betting on an imminent rebound, potentially before the full realization of the bearish scenario.
Analyst GalaxyBTC adopts a less alarming view by relying on the existence of robust historical support at current levels. His technical reading identifies a six-week descending channel approaching a potential bullish breakout. The RSI is flirting with a move above 50, while the MACD maintains a position above its signal line, two momentum indicators pointing toward a possible reversal.
The critical level to watch is around $0.0000036. A confirmed breakout above this threshold would invalidate the catastrophic scenario and pave the way toward a demand zone at $0.000009, representing a potential gain of 95%. In a favorable macro context, with anticipated rate cuts in the United States, PEPE could even target its all-time highs at $0.000028.
The recent history of memecoins demonstrates their ephemeral nature. Dozens of tokens have experienced meteoric trajectories before sinking into oblivion when speculative attention shifted elsewhere. PEPE, despite its active community, cannot escape this structural reality: without fundamental utility, its valuation depends entirely on market sentiment and speculative flows. Shiba Inu has suffered the consequences.
The central question therefore remains: Does PEPE possess sufficient community resilience and liquidity to survive this phase of severe correction? The coming weeks will be decisive, with two diametrically opposed scenarios on the table.
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Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.
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