Pi Coin demonstrates remarkable resilience amid the November crypto market correction, with mixed signals for December. While Bitcoin drops by almost 19% last month, Pi only retreats by 2.6%, establishing itself as a defensive asset in a bearish environment. Despite this apparent stability, underlying tensions could reshape dynamics in the early weeks of the year's final month.
Since its launch, Pi Coin has developed an atypical price dynamic. Throughout 2025, only February and May closed in the green, and November is attempting to join this short list. The most interesting point remains its negative monthly correlation with Bitcoin, currently established at -0.24. This decorrelation provides Pi with a structural advantage when the dominant market weakens.
Over the last seven days, Pi is still showing a gain of 2.7%, making it one of the most stable altcoins in a hostile environment. This resistance is partially explained by opportunistic buying flows when Bitcoin records massive liquidations. However, this stability does not guarantee a bullish continuation. Chartists are now identifying technical signals that question the strength of this support.
Pi is trading within a falling wedge, a pattern generally interpreted as a bullish reversal formation. The price is currently testing the upper resistance of this structure around $0.28. A clean breakout above this level could trigger an expansion phase toward $0.36, or even $0.46 in case of accelerating volumes. But two technical indicators temper this optimism.
On the 3D timeframe, the RSI displays a hidden bearish divergence: While the price forms a lower high, the indicator traces a higher high, signaling that selling pressure still dominates despite the apparent stability. The CMF, meanwhile, remains in negative territory and is testing its ascending trendline, a worrying configuration: In early October, a similar test preceded a 42% drop. These signals show that Pi’s current resistance relies more on a lack of selling pressure than on actual accumulation.
For December 2025, three strategic zones dominate. On the upside, breaking through $0.28 could open the way to an extension toward $0.36, then $0.46 if volumes and the CMF reverse positively. On the downside, losing the psychological threshold of $0.20 would quickly expose $0.18 and then $0.15, especially if a Bitcoin recovery temporarily reverses Pi’s negative decorrelation and absorbs liquidity.
Thus, the month of December will depend heavily on the behavior of the CMF and the ability of the falling wedge to release the price above $0.28. A prolonged Bitcoin weakness could paradoxically benefit Pi by attracting defensive capital, but without technical confirmation, the underlying bearish trend remains the most likely trajectory.
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