Solana drops to $137: Is it a lucrative long-term buying opportunity?

Market Context: A Temporary Divergence Between BTC and SOL

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a phase of localized volatility. On one side, Bitcoin (BTC) is demonstrating remarkable resilience by maintaining its position above $91,000, confirming for now the strength of its bull run. On the other, Solana (SOL) is facing short-term selling pressure, currently trading around $138.

This divergence often provides mean reversion opportunities. When a market leader like Bitcoin remains stable or bullish, major altcoins that have experienced excessive correction tend to catch up. This is precisely the scenario motivating our long on Solana today. The goal is to identify whether the current decline is simply a dip to buy or a deeper trend reversal.

Technical Analysis: Liquidations and Volume Profile

The recent SOL drop is not insignificant. On-chain data reveals that a massive quantity of long positions (sSOL) could be liquidated down to the $136 level. This phenomenon, often called a liquidation cascade, has the effect of cleaning the order book and eliminating weak hands. Once this purge is complete, selling pressure often mechanically exhausts itself, making way for a probable technical bounce.

From a structural perspective, the Volume Profile analysis corroborates this hypothesis. The current price is testing a crucial liquidity zone:

• Value Area Low (VAL): Located at $137, this zone acts as dynamic support. If the price manages to hold above it, this validates institutional buyers’ interest in defending this level.
• Point of Control (POC): A significant volume node has been identified around $141. In case of a bounce, this level will be the first intermediate resistance to watch, acting as a magnet for price. The 4-hour POC is at $137; any 4-hour close below this level would reduce the chances of a bounce.

Trade Setup: The Long Configuration

For traders looking to exploit this setup, entry must be surgical to optimize the risk/reward ratio. The idea is to slightly front-run the bounce while protecting against a killer wick.

Here are the key parameters for this position:

• Entry Zone (Buy Zone): Ideally, place limit orders between $135 and $137. This zone corresponds to the bottom of the recent liquidation and the low of the volume profile.
• Stop Loss (Invalidation): A close or significant wick below $133.8 would invalidate the bounce thesis. This would mean support has given way and the market is seeking liquidity lower.
• Take Profit (Targets): Profit-taking can be scaled to secure gains. A first partial TP at $147, followed by a second at $152. For the more patient, an extension toward $165 is conceivable if bullish momentum takes over.

Macro Monitoring: Bitcoin’s Pivotal Role

No Solana long trade analysis can ignore the Bitcoin factor. Although the setup on SOL is technically clean, it remains entirely dependent on the health of the king of crypto. The $90,000 level on Bitcoin is the line in the sand not to cross.

If BTC were to lose this psychological support with volume, the positive correlation would likely drag Solana well below our stop loss, canceling any immediate bullish perspective. Monitoring the BTC order book is therefore imperative before committing capital to this altcoin.

Steps to Long on Zoomex (Web or App Version):

1. Log in to Zoomex → Futures tab → Choose SOLUSDT Perpetual.
2. Margin mode: select Cross or Isolated (Isolated recommended to control risk properly).
3. Leverage: your choice (e.g., 10x or 20x depending on your risk). Higher leverage means less margin but liquidation closer.
4. Order type: Limit (to enter exactly at $138) or Trigger if you want a conditional order.
5. Placing the LONG position:
   • Entry price: 138 USDT (Limit order)
   • Quantity: calculate based on your position size. Example: you risk 1% of your capital (say $5,000 → max risk $50). SL distance = 138 – 133 = $5 → with 20x → size ≈ 200 SOL (to be adjusted).
6. Stop Loss (SL):
   • Go to Take Profit / Stop Loss after opening or as a pre-set.
   • Choose Stop Loss → Trigger Price: 133 USDT (or slightly above like 132.8 to avoid wicks).
7. Take Profit (TP):
   • Take Profit → Trigger Price: 152 USDT. Risk/reward ratio ≈ 1:3.8 ($5 risk for $19 gain).
8. Cleaner option: use Conditional order or pre-set TP/SL directly when opening the position:
   • Price: $138
   • Stop Loss: $133
   • Take Profit: $152
   • Zoomex shows you the R:R and liquidation price directly.
9. Confirm and you’re set!

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