The White House is seriously considering a presidential pardon for Changpeng Zhao, the former CEO of Binance imprisoned in 2024. With tensions in the Sino-American trade war and crypto market turmoil, CZ's potential return could reshape the cryptocurrency ecosystem's power dynamics.
In 2023, federal authorities indicted Changpeng Zhao (CZ) and his platform Binance for failing to implement effective anti-money laundering controls. The case accused Binance of facilitating illicit transactions involving sanctioned entities, including the North Korean Lazarus group. CZ pleaded guilty, acknowledging he had not deployed the necessary safeguards to prevent criminal use of his platform.
The plea agreement resulted in a record $4.3 billion fine for Binance, marking a turning point in cryptocurrency regulation in the United States. Subsequently, Zhao resigned as CEO and served four months in federal detention before his release. He nevertheless maintains a substantial stake in Binance, although he is barred from any direct operational role.
A presidential pardon would technically erase CZ’s criminal conviction and restore his civil rights. However, legal analysts point out that the agreement between Binance and the DOJ imposes multi-year independent monitoring that would likely limit his formal return to leadership of the exchange. This structural constraint could persist regardless of a potential pardon.
Despite ongoing discussions, Charles Gasparino tempers expectations by noting that the presidential agenda remains dominated by major geopolitical priorities. Managing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine commands the administration’s attention, relegating the CZ case to the back burner for now.
The commercial escalation with China further complicates matters. Trump has threatened to impose 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports in response to export controls announced by Beijing for November 1, 2025. This tariff war has triggered a sharp correction in crypto markets. The global market cap has fallen 9.63% to around $3.72 trillion, while Bitcoin has lost 7.81% and now trades at approximately $111,900.
The timing of a potential presidential pardon therefore remains uncertain. Sino-American tensions create a delicate political environment where any favorable decision toward a Chinese-Canadian figure could be exploited. Nevertheless, the market scrutinizes every signal, aware that a return of CZ, even limited, would transform the competitive dynamic between exchanges and strengthen Binance’s position against American rivals like Coinbase.
With its recent records and the strength of the BNB Chain ecosystem, BNB could target $1,500 to $1,600 if the momentum continues. Seize this strategic opportunity before the next rally.
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