Unveiling the Reasons Behind Today’s Explosive Crypto Market Surge
The cryptocurrency market shines on September 30, 2025, with Bitcoin (BTC) surpassing $114,000 (+4% in 24h) and Ethereum (ETH) crossing the $4,100 mark. This surge, following a gloomy end to September, is attributed to a combination of factors: the seasonal "Uptober" effect, expectations of Fed rate cuts, increasing institutional adoption, and strong on-chain signals. Dive into a detailed analysis of the drivers behind this bullish trend.
Translated on September 30, 2025 at 07:25 by Simon Dumoulin
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Crypto Market Surges on Expectations of an Explosive “Uptober”
The crypto market is experiencing a particularly prosperous day, marked by strong gains across its flagship assets. Bitcoin (BTC) has broken through the symbolic $114,000 barrier, recording a rise of more than 4% in 24 hours, while Ethereum (ETH) has reclaimed the $4,100 threshold.
This bullish momentum, which contrasts with the sluggishness of late September, can be explained by a convergence of technical, macroeconomic, and seasonal factors.
📊 UPDATE: October is historically one of the strongest months for Bitcoin, averaging +21.89% returns.
One of the main drivers of this trend is the anticipation of the “Uptober” effect, a seasonal phenomenon well-known to investors. Historically, October often brings positive performance for the crypto market.
This year, expectations are particularly high as several important deadlines for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for various cryptocurrencies are scheduled, raising hopes for an influx of institutional capital.
In this context, Bitcoin whales have been accumulating massively since Sunday. While investors now expect a price correction, Bitcoin seems well positioned to reach $116,000 and potentially even $118,800 in the coming days.
This explains why altcoins are struggling to keep pace and why Bitcoin dominance is regaining ground.
Favorable Macroeconomic Conditions and Abundant Liquidity
On the macroeconomic front, the environment is also supportive. The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has already implemented a cut in its key interest rates in September, and markets anticipate with high probability (87%) a further reduction in October.
This more accommodative monetary policy tends to inject liquidity into the financial system, part of which traditionally flows toward risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Moreover, faced with persistent inflation, many investors continue to turn to Bitcoin as a store of value, strengthening its appeal.
Finally, on-chain data reveals encouraging signals. The total reserve of stablecoins, tokens backed by traditional currencies, has reached a new record of $293 billion.
This mountain of liquidity represents considerable purchasing power ready to be deployed in the market. Combined with market sentiment that, paradoxically, shows little interest from the general public – a situation that has often preceded major rallies – all ingredients seem to be in place for an explosive October.
Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.
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