Why a Bitcoin drop to $84k or lower is becoming increasingly likely?
Bitcoin, after nearing $95,000, shows signs of weakness raising concerns among analysts. Technical indicators hint at an imminent deeper correction, potentially leading to prices well below current levels. This dip could be a buying opportunity for patient investors, but a trap for FOMO-driven ones.
Translated on December 11, 2025 at 10:24 by Simon Dumoulin
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Technical Signals Point to an Imminent Drop
Several bearish signals have aligned on Bitcoin charts. First, the price has failed twice to break above the top of its consolidation range (a “swing failure pattern”), indicating a clear rejection by the market.
Second, the bullish trendline that had supported the price for several weeks has been decisively broken, signaling a momentum shift. Finally, the CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) indicator is negative, meaning seller volume exceeds buyer volume, a divergence suggesting distribution by institutional players.
The Next Target: The Order Block at $84,000
With the bullish structure broken, all eyes are turning toward the next major support level. This is an “order block” located between $83,700 and $85,500. This zone represents a level where strong selling activity occurred in the past, and price is often drawn to these liquidity zones.
If Bitcoin loses the psychological support at the mid-range level of $87,900, a drop toward this order block is the most likely short-term scenario. The price reaction at this level will be crucial: a bounce could signal a simple correction, but a breakdown would open the door to much lower levels.
The Extreme Scenario: A Return to $74,000?
A historical pattern, highlighted by analyst KillaXBT, adds weight to the bearish scenario. Historically, every time Bitcoin has closed a quarter in the red, the following quarter has opened with a drop to “fill the wick” of the previous candle before resuming its upward movement.
Every time Bitcoin has printed a red quarterly close, the next quarter has opened by sweeping the previous wick to the downside before pushing upwards.
If this pattern continues, Q1 next year could dip below 80K toward the 74K area before pushing upwards. pic.twitter.com/cdgVGrKemQ
If this pattern, which has never failed, repeats itself, Bitcoin could fall below $80,000 to seek the $74,000 zone in Q1 2026. This would be a severe correction, but also a potentially generational buying opportunity for long-term investors.
In conclusion, the technical signals are clear: the risk of a deeper Bitcoin correction is high. Traders must remain cautious and closely monitor the key levels of $87,900 and the order block around $84,000.
For investors, this potential drop is not a reason to panic, but rather an opportunity to plan entry points at more attractive levels. As often in crypto, patience is key. Waiting for the market to come to you could be the most profitable strategy for the coming weeks.
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Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.
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