XRP: Is this historic signal predicting a 114% surge?

Massive Capitulation: $900 Million in Realized Losses

According to the latest on-chain data, the XRP network has recorded a monumental spike in “realized losses.” In concrete terms, this means that a large quantity of holders sold their tokens at a price lower than their purchase price, thus validating their losses. This phenomenon, well known to technical https://investx.fr/en/xrp/analysts, has a name: capitulation.

The reported figures are staggering. Within the span of one week, nearly $900 million in losses were recorded on the XRP blockchain. This is the most significant capitulation event recorded since 2022. In trading jargon, this indicates that “weak hands” are abandoning ship, frightened by recent price action or regulatory uncertainty.

Why is this potentially good news for bulls? Because for an asset to hit a bottom (a market low point), it’s often necessary for sellers to exhaust their ammunition. Once those who wanted to sell have sold, the downward pressure mechanically evaporates. It’s often at this precise moment that Smart Money and whales begin to accumulate discreetly, taking advantage of the liquidity offered by the ambient panic.

This market cleansing sanitizes the price structure. Leveraged positions are liquidated, and tokens pass from the hands of impatient speculators to those of long-term investors (HODlers), creating a solid foundation for a potential trend reversal.

An Identical Scenario to a 114% Rally

History doesn’t always repeat itself, but it often rhymes. On-chain analysts have noted a striking similarity with an event that occurred approximately 39 months ago. At that time, XRP had also experienced a similar spike in realized losses, signaling total despair among investors.

The subsequent events had taken the market by surprise: following this capitulation, XRP’s price had initiated a spectacular bullish rally, recording a performance of 114% in the following weeks. If the current fractal follows the same logic, we could be on the verge of an explosive movement.

Of course, the macroeconomic context and Ripple-specific news (notably legal developments in the United States) will play a key role. However, from a purely technical and on-chain perspective, the current configuration suggests that downside risk is now limited compared to upside potential. The market appears to have reached an inflection point where seller exhaustion could give way to a violent bullish impulse.

Is XRP Ready to Outperform Bitcoin in the Coming Weeks?

While Bitcoin continues to dictate the market’s general tempo, XRP is showing signs of independence that intrigue traders. If this capitulation signal confirms as a local bottom, the next major resistance at $1.66 will be crucial. A breakout above key resistance levels could validate the beginning of a new bullish cycle. Conversely, a loss of $1.11 could take XRP toward the demand zone around $0.9.

Technical indicators, coupled with this on-chain purge, paint an interesting picture for contrarian investors. However, caution remains warranted: a reversal often requires a consolidation phase before the explosion. The question everyone is now asking is: have the whales finished filling their bags before the next takeoff toward $1 and beyond?

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