$26 Billion in Bitcoin Deposited on Binance: What’s Going On?

A Glimmer of Hope Amidst Chaos for Bitcoin?

The market has just endured one of the most tense weeks of the year. Bitcoin briefly plunged below $100,000 on Tuesday, triggering a cascade of liquidations on leveraged positions and sending fear indicators skyrocketing. Over-exposed traders were wiped out, and bearish sentiment spread like wildfire across social media and specialized forums.

Yet, BTC quickly recovered this critical psychological level, proving that demand remains solid around major support zones. This resilience testifies to the persistent appetite of institutional and retail buyers near $98,000-$100,000, despite the violent correction.

But on-chain analysis reveals a concerning phenomenon that might explain this increased volatility. According to CryptoQuant data shared by CryptoOnchain, Bitcoin inflows to Binance literally exploded in October 2025. And the nature of these movements deserves our full attention.

$26 Billion in Speculative Capital Floods into Binance

The figures speak volumes. Inflows of “young” Bitcoins to Binance jumped from about $18 billion in September to nearly $26 billion in October. This 44% increase represents one of the most significant monthly spikes observed over the past twelve months.

When we talk about “young” Bitcoins, we’re referring to UTXOs aged 0 to 1 day. These recently moved transaction units indicate very short-term trading activity, typical of day traders, arbitrage algorithms, and speculators looking to capitalize on intraday fluctuations.

This concentration of hot money on Binance, the world’s largest exchange platform in terms of volume, mechanically amplifies volatility. High-frequency traders and market-making bots create rapid and sometimes brutal price movements, without necessarily reflecting a fundamental change in Bitcoin’s valuation.

Historically, massive inflows to exchanges often precede episodes of selling pressure. Investors move their assets to platforms to take profits, cover positions, or react to macroeconomic catalysts. However, the current market structure suggests a more complex dynamic than a simple bearish movement.

Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Maintain Their Positions

The most reassuring point in this on-chain analysis concerns the behavior of long-term holders, commonly called LTH in the crypto lexicon. The data shows that inflows of “old” Bitcoins to Binance remain virtually non-existent, close to zero over the same period.

This divergence between young and old coins is fundamental to understanding the market structure. It indicates that conviction investors, those who accumulate and hold their BTC over periods of several months or years, are not participating in the current selling. They maintain their positions in cold storage or on non-custodial wallets, away from exchanges.

This behavior reveals a two-speed market. On one side, speculative capital generates noise and short-term volatility on trading platforms. On the other, the solid base of convinced investors remains firmly anchored, preserving Bitcoin’s structural fundamentals.

This dichotomy is not uncommon in consolidation phases after strong rallies. With BTC having more than doubled since its last major low, it’s natural for part of the market to take profits while another accumulates or holds in anticipation of new highs. The question remains which camp will prevail in the coming weeks.

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BTC Tests Critical Resistance Levels After Its Bounce

On the technical front, Bitcoin is evolving in a fragile configuration. The 4-hour chart shows a modest bounce from the low at $98,900, but the price is struggling to regain traction above $103,000.

The 20 and 50-period moving averages are beginning to tilt downward, confirming a bearish short-term trend. These indicators, widely followed by algorithmic traders, now act as dynamic resistance and limit bullish recovery attempts.

The critical zone to watch is between $105,000 and $107,000. A clean break above this range would likely trigger short squeezes and signal a return of confidence. Conversely, rejection at these levels could trigger a new wave of selling, with potential retests of $100,000 or even $97,500, a major psychological support.

Volume remains high, indicating that uncertainty still dominates sentiment. Derivatives markets display predominantly bearish sentiment, with long/short ratios unfavorable to bulls. For momentum to truly change, BTC will need to not only reclaim its key moving averages but also sustain itself above $107,000. Until proven otherwise, caution remains the watchword.

Furthermore, as trader Killa points out, “violent” selling pressure was observed on the Order Book in recent days. This explains the difficulty in breaking through $104,700. Caution will therefore be necessary if Bitcoin approaches $100,000 again.

On the same topic:

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• Why Ethereum is Poised to Surpass Bitcoin by Year-End