A crypto analyst argues that Bitcoin should not drop below $55,000 during this bearish phase, citing Bollinger Bands and RSI. Will this technical prediction revive investor confidence amid recent corrections? Decrypting a debated analysis in the crypto community.
The technical analysis of Bitcoin currently reveals an interesting configuration on daily chart data. The lower Bollinger band sits precisely around $55,000, a level that has already served as major support during previous corrections. This technical convergence indicates that volatility has contracted and the market could be preparing for a significant directional move.
The RSI supports this reading by displaying values close to the oversold zone (below 30), which reinforces the hypothesis of a forming floor. Historically, Bitcoin tends to bounce when these two indicators align under similar conditions. Institutional traders are closely monitoring these levels as they offer potentially advantageous entry points with a favorable risk-reward ratio.
However, caution is necessary with predictions based solely on technical analysis. The crypto market remains influenced by numerous external factors: regulations, institutional adoption, overall market sentiment, and correlations with traditional markets. A technical indicator, no matter how reliable, cannot guarantee future price movements in the face of a major macroeconomic event or unexpected regulatory news.
The current Bitcoin market context presents several elements that could support the hypothesis of a floor at $55,000. Accumulation by whales and institutional investors has intensified around this price zone, creating solid structural demand. On-chain data shows that long-term holders (holding > 12 months) are increasing their positions rather than selling, a sign of maintained confidence despite the correction.
Bitcoin’s dominance over the global crypto market remains elevated, indicating a search for safe haven value within the ecosystem. Trading volumes on major centralized and decentralized exchanges confirm sustained interest at this price zone. Bitcoin derivatives also display a neutral funding rate, suggesting the market is neither excessively bullish nor bearish.
Bitcoin’s historical cycles show that major corrections often find their end around key Fibonacci retracements, and the current level corresponds approximately to the 50% retracement of the last bull run. This confluence between classic technical analysis and on-chain data strengthens the credibility of the scenario of major support at $55,000, even though no certainty exists in financial markets.
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