Ethereum Teeters on the Brink: Will it Rebound or Plunge to $3,800 Again?
Ethereum futures contracts have recently turned bearish, prompting questions about the reasons behind this shift. Analysis of key market signals and outlook for the upcoming weeks.
Translated on September 23, 2025 at 10:20 by Simon Dumoulin
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Ethereum Pulls Back in Line with Broader Altcoin Trend
After months of gains, Ethereum futures have experienced a sudden correction, leaving many investors perplexed. Far from being a sign of structural weakness, this decline is part of a broader movement in the crypto market. Let’s dive into the dynamics underlying this evolution and analyze the prospects for informed investors.
Ethereum’s correction of 9.2% in less than 12 hours aligned with movements across the altcoin market as a whole. This widespread pullback doesn’t reflect any specific problem within the Ethereum ecosystem, but rather a generalized risk aversion in the crypto market. Despite more than $500 million in forced liquidations of bullish positions, buyers quickly stepped in around $4,150.
Source: TradingView
Analysis of Ethereum derivatives data reveals decreased demand for long positions, but no clear signs of a bearish trigger originating from this market. The premium on monthly futures contracts dropped below the neutral 5-10% threshold, while the perpetual funding rate briefly hit -6% before recovering to -1%. This indicates a retreat in bullish speculative appetite without revealing an excess of leveraged long positions.
Recovery Driven by Upcoming Institutional Demand?
Although a small group of investors may have positioned themselves too optimistically, the initial trigger for Ethereum’s weakness remains unclear. This dynamic appears to have sparked a wave of panic selling from other crypto traders. However, the data suggests that institutional demand, through corporate reserves and flows into Ethereum ETFs, should support a rebound in prices in the coming weeks.
Beyond short-term turbulence, the Ethereum ecosystem maintains solid fundamentals. While futures contracts experienced significant liquidations, this reflects market dynamics rather than systemic risk. As institutional investors strengthen their presence, the medium-term outlook for ETH remains favorable, despite these temporary fluctuations.
Gaston has been a writer for over 7 years and a passionate cryptocurrency enthusiast since 2020. He loves exploring the crypto ecosystem and is now dedicated to sharing his insights and discoveries through InvestX.
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