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Is a 60% Drop to $1500 Possible for Ethereum?
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Is a 60% Drop to $1500 Possible for Ethereum?

The Ethereum price is showing a concerning downward trend, causing anxiety among traders. A critical support level is looming, and its breach could trigger a sharp drop towards $3,400. The upcoming hours will be crucial for the second-largest cryptocurrency in the market.

Written by Charles Ledoux

Translated on October 17, 2025 at 07:55 by Simon Dumoulin

Ethereum logo in red and yellow.
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The $3,815 Support Break Is a Game Changer

The breakdown below the support level at $3,815 represents a major technical turning point for Ethereum. This level had served as solid support during previous downward attempts, and its loss fundamentally alters the market structure. Indeed, ETH now displays a lower low. This means that as long as the $4,500-$4,700 range isn’t reclaimed, ETH remains in bearish territory.

Price action since this breakdown reveals persistent selling pressure. Rebound attempts consistently hit increasingly lower resistance levels, forming a series of descending peaks characteristic of an established downtrend. Buyers struggle to regain control, and each rally is quickly absorbed by sellers.

ETH price chart on weekly timeframe

More concerning still, ETH displays a negative Woodies CCI on the weekly chart. The last time this occurred, ETH fell by 60% from its local high. A similar drop would take ETH’s price to approximately $1,500.

If the current support gives way, the next technical target would indeed be around $3,400 to $3,200. This zone corresponds to a significant Fibonacci retracement level as well as a former resistance that became support during the previous bullish phase. Traders are also scrutinizing volume patterns to detect potential signs of capitulation or institutional accumulation.

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Should You Buy or Wait?

Savvy investors are keeping a close eye on several key indicators. Holding the support around $3,800 constitutes the first line of defense for short-term bulls. A daily close below this psychological threshold would strengthen the bearish scenario and open the path toward the $3,400 level mentioned earlier.

Ethereum price chart on 2H timeframe

It’s also crucial to monitor ETF flows to determine whether institutions are preparing to absorb the selling pressure or not. For now, as long as BTC maintains $106,000, bulls still have a chance to save ETH.

To conclude, the macroeconomic context remains a significant factor. Correlations with traditional markets, particularly the Nasdaq, continue to influence Ethereum’s trajectory. Major economic announcements could trigger volatile movements and accelerate or reverse the current trend depending on the general market sentiment.

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Charles Ledoux

Charles Ledoux

Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.

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