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Why XRP Faces a Potential Drop to $2 as ETF Launch Nears
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Why XRP Faces a Potential Drop to $2 as ETF Launch Nears

XRP is showing concerning technical signals, hinting at a risk of significant correction towards $2 amidst anticipation for the upcoming launch of XRP spot ETFs. Investors are facing a paradox as ETF excitement clashes with worrisome chart patterns that might prevail in the short term.

Written by Simon Dumoulin

Translated on November 2, 2025 at 08:45 by Simon Dumoulin

Blue and black XRP coin image.
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Technical Patterns That Don’t Lie

Analysis of XRP price reveals at least two unfavorable chart formations that signal a risk of short-term correction. Experienced traders recognize these technical patterns as major warning signals that shouldn’t be ignored in the current market context.

The first pattern corresponds to a classic distribution structure, where buying volumes progressively decrease while selling pressure intensifies. Resistance zones become veritable technical ceilings, creating a fragile environment for long positions.

The second technical pattern reinforces this perspective. The formation of a double top or descending wedge (depending on the timeframe) suggests a loss of bullish momentum. Momentum indicators like the RSI and MACD show negative divergence, confirming a progressive weakening of buying dynamics despite positive news related to XRP ETFs.

This configuration positions the $2 level as a key psychological and technical support. A break below this threshold could trigger a wave of liquidations and amplify the short-term downward movement.

Daily chart of XRP/USD price on Coinbase, with WMA 50 and 200 moving average lines, support and resistance levels marked, indicating market trend and volatility

The Paradoxical Effect of XRP ETF Arrival

While the market enthusiastically anticipates the launch of spot XRP ETFs, often perceived as a bullish catalyst, the technical fragility of the price reinforces uncertainty. This scenario perfectly illustrates the “buy the rumor, sell the news” principle, well-known among crypto investors.

Institutional investors and whales seem to be taking advantage of the pre-launch euphoria to lighten their positions and take anticipated profits. This strategy would explain the current selling pressure, despite an overall positive market sentiment.

The history of Bitcoin ETFs and Ethereum ETFs shows that volatility often intensifies before and after their implementation, creating accumulation opportunities for patient investors.

XRP’s trading volumes confirm this climate of uncertainty, with intraday volatility spikes reflecting a struggle between optimistic buyers and cautious sellers.

For active XRP traders, several key levels are worth monitoring:

  • $2.00: First major psychological support.
  • $1.80 – $1.90: Secondary support zones in case of a breakdown.
  • $2.40 – $2.60: Crucial resistance to overcome to invalidate the bearish scenario.

A weekly close above $2.60 would be a strong signal of bullish recovery, supported by the arrival of XRP ETFs. Savvy traders are adapting their risk management strategies, with tight stop-losses and reduced exposure in this volatile context.

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Simon Dumoulin

Simon Dumoulin

Passionate about cryptocurrencies since 2019, I cover the latest news through clear and accessible articles. My goal is to make crypto understandable for everyone, with reliable and well-researched content.

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