While Ripple sees positive developments legally and commercially, the XRP price keeps plummeting. Why isn't the market reacting positively? This raises strategic questions about the project's true health and the intentions of major holders.
The price of XRP has recently tested the $2 mark, representing an increase of about 20% from the week’s lowest level. However, it is still approximately 43% below its highest level this year.
Current XRP Price. Source: Crypto.news
This increase follows several positive announcements regarding Ripple, the company behind XRP. Firstly, Standard Chartered bank estimated that XRP could surge from $2 to $12 in the next 4 years. Such growth would propel Ripple’s market capitalization from the current $113 billion to over $600 billion, provided the XRP supply remains unchanged.
“Ripple has positioned its solution as more transparent, faster, and cost-effective compared to SWIFT in the cross-border payments sector.”
Analysts have justified this bullish projection due to Ripple’s increasing role in cross-border payments, traditionally dominated by SWIFT. While a SWIFT transaction costs between $20 and $50, Ripple’s transaction costs less than a dollar. Additionally, Ripple transactions are instantaneous, unlike SWIFT transfers, which can take longer.
Despite these positive developments, technical analysis of the XRP price suggests that this rebound may be short-lived. On the daily chart, ripple’s token has returned to test the critical $2 level. This corresponds to the neckline of a bearish head and shoulders pattern formed between November and this week, indicating a continued medium-term decline.
Furthermore, XRP has already formed a “death cross,” with its 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day average. This bearish signal suggests that the downward trend could resume, with a risk of falling below the $1 mark in the short term before a potential recovery.
Moreover, there is a risk that this rebound is a “dead cat bounce” or a “bull trap,” meaning a temporary rise before another wave of selling. Such a scenario would be concerning for investors seeking short-term gains.
While Ripple-related news is encouraging in the long run, XRP’s technical analysis suggests that its current rebound may be short-lived. Investors should exercise caution in the coming weeks amid the possibility of a trend reversal. A consolidation below $1 cannot be ruled out before a potential more sustainable recovery.
If you are considering investing in Ripple, we recommend using Weex, a reliable and secure platform. Below are the steps to follow:
Before making any investment, it is always advisable to stay informed about the market conditions and the risks involved. Above all, never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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