As we approach the end of 2025, Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market platform, is buzzing with activity. Traders, from casual bettors to market-moving "whales," are flocking to events in news, pop culture, and entertainment, with trading volumes surpassing billions. Today, on December 22, 2025, three trades stand out for their popularity and the frenzied interest of whales.
The prediction market on the TikTok sale, titled “TikTok sale announced by…?”, is a genuine whale magnet on Polymarket and Kalshi. With a trading volume of $7 million, bettors are wagering on a sale announcement by December 31st (81% probability) or March 2026 (94%).
Why such enthusiasm? Persistent geopolitical tensions between the United States and China, combined with the Trump administration’s promise to take action against ByteDance, the Chinese parent company, are fueling speculation.
Whales have been spotted buying massive “Yes” positions, betting on a quick resolution. This market is a pure political play: a simple congressional statement can tip the odds, and whales are capitalizing on this uncertainty for potentially enormous gains.
Currently, a bet on “TikTok sale announced by December 31st?” offers a return between 15 and 25% profit if the bet succeeds.
Tip: Read our article on Polymarket alternatives to execute your trades even in Europe.
James Cameron’s third installment in the saga, released on December 19th, has been the subject of intense betting. The main market, “Will ‘Avatar: Fire and Ash’ Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?”, is currently being resolved.
Preliminary data indicates an opening of $88 million, below the expected $90 million, proving the “Yes” bettors right. Before the release, expectations were tempered by competition and mixed reviews, which attracted whales.
They took advantage of the initial underestimation to take massive positions on sub-markets, betting on results below forecasts. This trade perfectly illustrates how whales exploit real-time data to execute quick arbitrages on major cultural events.
Markets on MrBeast’s next video views within 24 hours are another favorite playground for whales. With millions of dollars in volume, bettors are wagering on very precise view ranges. MrBeast, with his 455 million subscribers, is a phenomenon whose performance is scrutinized closely.
Whales are fighting over these trades because view patterns are relatively predictable, depending on the title, timing, and YouTube algorithms. Alerts show whales taking positions on lower ranges, betting on possible market saturation or a less viral video. This is a pure pop culture trade, where whales use analytical data to anticipate a content creator’s performance and stay ahead of the crowd.
In conclusion, these three trades – TikTok, Avatar, and MrBeast – embody the essence of Polymarket: turning uncertainty into opportunity. With high volumes and active whales, they offer lessons on modern speculation.
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Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.
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