A 132 million Dogecoin transfer to Robinhood sparks fears of a massive dump as DOGE drops below $0.20. US-China trade tensions amplify the correction, yet some analysts anticipate a bullish rally ahead. Decoding an on-chain movement shaking up the memecoin ecosystem.
Whale Alert data has revealed a spectacular movement: 132 million Dogecoin, worth approximately $27 million, have been transferred to Robinhood from an unidentified wallet. This type of transaction typically triggers alarm bells among traders, as deposits to exchange platforms often suggest an imminent intention to liquidate.
The timing of this transfer coincides with a sharp drop in the price of DOGE, which has broken through the psychological support of $0.20 to currently sit at $0.1882. This decline comes amid a tense macroeconomic environment, marked by escalating trade tensions between the United States and China. Donald Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on Chinese products, effective next month, has triggered a widespread flash crash in the crypto market, sending DOGE as low as $0.11.
However, on-chain analysis provides important nuance. According to several market observers, the source wallet could also belong to Robinhood itself. This would mean a simple internal redistribution between hot wallet and cold wallet, a common practice to optimize security and liquidity. This hypothesis partially mitigates fears of massive dumping, although the bearish sentiment remains dominant.
Beyond the controversial transfer, several on-chain indicators confirm the lack of appetite from large investors for Dogecoin. Santiment data shows a significant decrease in the number of whale transactions over recent weeks. This slowdown in wallet activity holding more than 100,000 DOGE indicates that these players prefer to stay on the sidelines rather than accumulate during the dip.
DOGE transaction volume also illustrates this market slowdown. After a peak of $4 billion on October 10, daily volume fell to $214 million on October 16, representing a drop of more than 95%. This liquidity contraction amplifies volatility and makes the market more vulnerable to sudden movements, reinforcing investor caution and the prudence of technical analysts.
Despite this bearish short-term picture, some analysts remain optimistic for the medium and long term. Javon Marks projects a minimum increase of 251% for DOGE, with a target around $4, while Ali Martinez identifies $0.19 as a critical support in the short term. Maintaining above this threshold could allow a rebound towards $0.33, while a downward break would pave the way for a correction towards $0.15 or $0.12. The current price of $0.1882 places Dogecoin in a zone of technical uncertainty, where volume and RSI will be determining factors for the trend in the coming weeks.
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