At Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, some are winning big by betting on the future. Discover a strategy for earning without predicting Bitcoin's moves - a robotic method used by traders like "gabagool" to profit from market inefficiencies, analyzed by expert @thejayden.
The strategy focuses on short-term binary markets, such as those on Bitcoin price every 15 minutes. On these markets like Polymarket, you can buy “YES” shares (the price will be above a certain threshold) or “NO” shares (it will be below). At the end, one of the two shares is worth $1, the other $0. In theory, the price of a YES share plus that of a NO share should always equal $1.
But in practice, this isn’t always the case. The market, driven by human emotions, creates temporary imbalances. This is where bots come into play. Their goal isn’t to predict the outcome, but to buy YES and NO shares when their combined cost is less than $1.
It’s a pure arbitrage strategy: if you can buy a pair of shares (one YES and one NO) for, say, $0.97, you’re guaranteed to make a profit of $0.03, because one of the two shares will inevitably be worth $1 at the end.
The strategy, as analyzed by @thejayden, is disarmingly simple:
In a concrete example, the trader “gabagool” invested approximately $1,237 to acquire a balanced basket of YES and NO shares, with a cost per pair of $0.966. At the end of the 15 minutes, his net gain was $58.52, representing a return of nearly 5% in half an hour.
Repeated on a large scale across dozens of markets simultaneously, this strategy allows for accumulating considerable gains, transforming small arbitrage opportunities into millions of dollars in profits.
This approach is nearly impossible to replicate manually. It requires constant monitoring, real-time calculations, and near-instantaneous execution, tasks for which bots are infinitely superior. They have no emotions, aren’t subject to FOMO (fear of missing out), and can operate 24/7.
These bots aren’t oracles, they’re simply ultra-fast calculators exploiting the inefficiency of human-driven markets. They remind us of a fundamental lesson in decentralized finance: in an open and programmable ecosystem, the advantage doesn’t go to the one who best predicts the future, but to the one who most efficiently exploits the present.
While human traders bet on what might happen, bots capitalize on what’s already there: the small pricing errors that, put together, build empires.
The Pionex exchange offers a free bot that delivers the same returns: The Hedging Bot. Test it now by visiting the Pionex website and searching for Hedging bot in the “Bot” tab:
Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.
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